Iran’s presidential election on Friday saw remarkably low turnout, with initial estimates indicating that only about 25% of eligible voters participated. This is a significant drop from the 70% turnout recorded in previous elections and falls short of the 50% target set by the ruling clerics, who view voter participation as a measure of their legitimacy.
Years of economic hardship and harsh social restrictions have left many Iranians disillusioned with politicians’ broken promises. For some, abstaining from voting is a way of expressing their rejection of the government. Reports from Tehran indicated empty polling stations, with some voters defying dress codes, such as Mahdieh, 41, who voted without a hijab. By contrast, polling stations in central and southern Tehran saw longer queues as voting stretched into the evening.
The election comes at a critical time, with the new president facing significant challenges, including domestic unrest, economic strife and regional tensions that have brought Iran to the brink of conflict twice this year. Final results may not be available until tomorrow, but analysts predict no candidate will get the 50 percent needed to avoid a runoff.
Pre-election polls by Iranian state television showed a tight race between the top candidates. Conservative candidates Mohammad Baqer Ghalibaf and Saeed Jalili each had around 16 percent support, while reformist candidate Dr. Masoud Pezeshkian led with 23 percent. If these numbers hold, a runoff between Pezeshkian and one of the conservatives is likely on July 5.
Ghalibaf, a former commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and current speaker of parliament, and Jalili, a hardliner, have refused to step down despite a public feud. Of the two, Ghalibaf is seen as the more pragmatic. Pezeshkian, leading in the polls but below the 50 percent threshold, has emphasized his campaign’s focus on addressing the needs of disadvantaged areas.
Another candidate, Mostafa Pourmohammadi, a cleric with a background in intelligence, is expected to receive less than 1 percent of the vote. Pourmohammadi has warned that the low voter turnout would be a significant problem for the Islamic Republic.
Voting began at 8 a.m. local time and continued late into the night to encourage higher turnout. The Iranian leadership, including Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had framed the election as a challenge against Iran’s adversaries and a validation of the Islamic Republic’s rule. Khamenei urged citizens to vote as a civic duty, promising that it would bring “dignity and credit” to the country.
However, many Iranians appear to be continuing the election boycott that began with the last major vote, doubting that meaningful change can come through the ballot box. The rigorous vetting of candidates by a committee of clerics and lawyers, along with the government’s efforts to silence the opposition, have contributed to this skepticism.
In the days leading up to the election, young Iranians expressed their discontent. Four psychology students from Tehran University, shopping at Tajrish Bazaar, expressed their frustration with the situation in the country but had no intention of voting. Sohgand, 19, reflected this sentiment, saying, “We can’t do anything to solve the situation; we have no hope other than ourselves.”
Despite widespread apathy, some polling stations saw active participation. At the Hosseinieh Ershad religious institute in Tehran, Neema Saberi, 30, expressed support for the reformist candidate Pezeshkian, citing his anti-corruption stance and commitment to improving international relations.
The televised debates highlighted the economy as a major concern for voters and candidates, with American sanctions, corruption and mismanagement as key issues. Analysts say addressing Iran’s economic problems requires addressing foreign policy challenges, including the nuclear standoff with the United States and regional military entanglements.
Vali Nasr, a professor at Johns Hopkins University, suggested that while radical change is unlikely, the election could lead to significant changes in policy if voices advocating a different direction gain influence.
In provinces with large ethnic Azeri and Kurdish populations, voter turnout is expected to be higher for Pezeshkian, himself an Azeri Turk. His campaign speeches in Turkish and Kurdish have resonated with these communities, generating regional enthusiasm.
At a rally in Tabriz, Pezeshkian received a hero’s welcome, underscoring regional support for his candidacy, which activists say is rare for ethnic and religious minorities in Iran.
